FIFA Club World Cup Final - Betting Preview
With many of the big guns having fallen by the wayside, only two sides remain in the 2025 edition of the FIFA Club World Cup. It’s an all-European affair at the MetLife Stadium, as Champions League kings PSG face a Chelsea outfit who finished fourth in the Premier League last season.
Sunday, 8pm is the date in the diary for the FIFA Club World Cup Final, with the game free to watch via DAZN. But who will come out on top in the first meeting between the West Londoners and the French champions since 2016? Here, we take a look at the route to the final, key matchups and pick out our best bets for the game.
Route’s to The Final
Enzo Maresca’s side have enjoyed a near flawless route to the final – the only blip coming when reduced to ten men and suffering a 3-1 defeat to Brazilian outfit Flamengo in the Group Phase.
Finishing second in Group D, the Blues scored three times in the space of nine extra-time minutes to see off Benfica in the Last 16 before easing past the Brazilian duo of Palmeiras and Fluminense, 2-1 and 2-0 in the quarters and semis.
PSG’s 1-0 loss to Botafogo was one of the biggest shocks of the Group Phase. However, if we ignore that smash-and-grab defeat, the Parisiens record reads five wins, 16 goals scored, and none conceded.
PSG have faced significantly tougher opposition than Chelsea in the knockout rounds. Predictably in a different class to Lionel Messi’s Inter Miami in the Last 16, they then beat Bayern Munich 2-0 (despite finishing the game with nine men) before hammering Real Madrid 4-0 in their semi-final.
Key Stats so Far
There is not much between the sides at first glance. The xG numbers, in particular, suggest Chelsea and PSG have played to a similar level so far in the tournament.
Chelsea’s greater number of corners from a lower average possession percentage illustrates their efficiency at advancing attacks, despite the methodical Maresca style of play. That said, the Blues are equally dangerous with rapid-fire counters, scoring six times on the break.
PSG, meanwhile, have largely continued the form which produced that record-setting thrashing of Inter Milan in the Champions League final. Adept at keeping possession, they quickly recover possession thanks to their pressing all over the field. Boasting goals from ten different players in just six games, Luis Enriques's men can hurt you from every angle. Throw in a defence which has kept five clean sheets, and you have close to the complete side.
Betting Markets
- Match Result - Our stats table suggests that Chelsea may offer a touch of value in the match result market at a general price of 9/4. However, PSG posted comparable stats despite butting heads with European titans Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, whereas Chelsea faced mostly inferior opposition. They are priced accordingly at 3/10 with Ladbrokes, but we suspect PSG will confirm their status as the best club side in the world with a win on Sunday evening.
- BTTS - With PSG having shut out both Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, we were surprised to see Both Teams To Score priced at just 4/6. With that dominant display against Inter Milan lingering in the memory, odds-against quotes for BTTS (No) look worth snapping up
- Goalscorers - As mentioned, PSG can launch a goalscoring attack from almost any area of the pitch, making goalscorer predictions a little tricky. However, we like the matchup of Desire Doue vs Trevoh Chalobah on the right side of the PSG attack. The man who hit a brace in the Champions League final is solid first scorer value at 5/1
- Bookings - Doué and Kvaratskhelia have been in menacing form thus far, suggesting that Marc Cucurella and Malo Gusto could be in for a torrid evening. Both rate solid options to receive a card, but we prefer to back Cucurella, who is likely to receive less support from the defensively excellent Moises Caicedo on his side of the pitch.
Recommended Bets
- PSG to win @ 3/5 with Ladbrokes
- BTTS (No) @ 23/20 with Ladbrokes
- Desire Doué to score first @ 5/1 with Ladbrokes
- Marc Cucurella to Receive a card @ with Ladbrokes
A Bet Builder on the above four selections pays out at 30/1 with Ladbrokes.
Dean Saunders: Premier League title defence the priority for Liverpool
Top 20 Betting Offers
|
New customers only. 7 days to place qualifying bet of £10 at 1/1 (2.0) to receive 4 x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 football, 1 x £10 horse racing & 2 x £10 Bet Builders. Free Bets cannot be used on e-sports and non-UK/IE horse racing. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. 18+. T&Cs apply. |
|||||
|
New customers online only. Eligibility restrictions apply. Only valid with code B10G40 on registration. £10 min qualifying bet at 1/1 (2.0) odds or greater across sports or racing (if EW then min £10 Win + £10 Place). Receive £20 Tote Credit, £10 Free Sports Bet and 50 Free Spins on a selected game within 48 hours of qualifying bet settlement. 7-day expiry on free bets & Tote Credit. Your first bet will be your qualifying bet. One per customer. UK & ROI customers only. 18+. Full T&Cs apply Gambleaware.org. Full T&Cs apply. |
|||||
|
18+ New customers only. Opt in and bet up to £40 (min. £20) via mobile or app on any football (odds 1/1+) within 7 days of registration. Get up to £40 in free bets on selected markets, which expire in 7 days. T&Cs apply, see below. GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly |
|||||
|
Offer valid for new BetTom customers. 50% of first day losses refunded as a free bet up to £25. Credited within 24 hours. 35x wagering requirement applies to free spins. Maximum takeout is £50 from free spins. 18+ Full terms apply. begambleware. |
|||||
|
Offer valid for new Betgoodwin customers aged 18 years and over. Min qualifying stake £10 at odds of 6/4+. Excludes horse & greyhound racing. Min 4 legs at odds of 2/5+ for £10 free acca. Full Terms apply. begambleaware |
|||||
|
New players. Choose bonus at signup / use code SPORT. Wager deposit+bonus 8x. Max bet = bonus. Deposit used 1st. Early withdrawals void bonus. Valid 60 days. Odds, bet & payment limits. T&Cs apply. 18+. |
|||||
|
T&Cs apply. 18+ New customers only. You must place a single win-only bet of £10 or more with odds of evens (2.00) or greater to qualify. Money back as £10 in free bets. Free bet is credited the day after the qualifying bet has settled. Must use code B10G10 when creating an account. |
|||||
|
18+ New Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. 1st Deposit & Bet £/€10+ at min odds 1/2 on Sports within 14 days of account reg & Get 4x £10 Free Bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days) Max 1 Free Bet per player. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. |
|||||
|
18+, UK only. Deposit and place a £10 cash bet at single or accumulated odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater and we will give you £10 in free bets. Free bets credited as 4 x £5 Void or 'Draw No Bet' wagers do not qualify for this promotion. Available once per customer. Free bets will be credited at bet settlement and will expire 7 days after being credited. Full T&Cs apply. |
|||||
|
18+. New UK & ROI customers only . Certain deposit methods & bet types excl . Min first £10 win or E/W bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 & get 4 x £10 free bets . Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. No cashout, restrictions + T&C apply |
|||||
|
*New members only. £10+ bet on sports (ex. Virtuals) 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days; £20 use on sportsbook, £10 on Bet Builder. Stake not returned. T&Cs + deposit exclusions apply. Bet Responsibly. GambleAware.org. 18+ |
|||||
|
New Customers Only. To qualify, deposit and place a minimum £10 bet on any sport. Then, place two additional qualifying bets, each worth at least 50% of your largest initial stake. Quinnbet will credit your account with a Free Bet up to £25, the following day 18+ T&Cs Apply. Gamble Responsibly. |
|||||
|
New members only. £10+ bet on sports (ex. virtuals) at 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accepted in 7 days, valid 7 days; £20 use on sportsbook, £10 on Bet Builder. Stake not returned. T&Cs + deposit exclusions apply. Bet Responsibly. GambleAware.org. 18+ |
|||||
|
Place a £10 fixed odds bet at minimum odds of 1/2 and get 3 x £10 free fixed odds bets, 3 x £5 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x £5 Winning Favourites spread bets and a £1 racing Race Index spread bet.18+. Full T&Cs apply. www.gambleaware.org. |
|||||
|
18+ | GambleAware.org | New accounts only. Min Deposit £10, Claim offer within 7 days, bonus expires after 30 days, debit card or instant bank transfer only. Game contributions vary, max stake applies. Full terms apply. #AD |
|||||
|
New sportsbook customers only. Place £10 first bet at min odds 1/2 to get £20 Free Bet. Stake not returned. Free Bet valid 7 days, min odds 1/2. Settled bets only. One welcome offer per customer (not with 50% Net Loss Refund). 18+. Full T&Cs apply. |
|||||
|
#AD | Welcome bonus for new players only | Maximum bonus is 100% up to £100 | Min. deposit is £10 | No max cash out | Wagering is 40x bonus | Maximum bet with an active bonus is £5 | Eligibility is restricted for suspected abuse | Skrill & Neteller deposits excluded for welcome bonus | Cashback when offered, applies to deposits where no bonus is included | Cashback is cash with no restrictions | T&C's apply |Free bet: Min odds: 2.0 - Free bet value will be deducted from free bet winnings | 18+ | BeGambleAware.org | Gambling is addictive, please gamble responsibly! |
|||||
|
New customers only. Register, deposit with Debit Card, and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility exclusions & T&Cs Apply. |
|||||
|
18+. BeGambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 sports free bet and £20 Casino Bonus. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #AD |
|||||
|
18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 10 days, no cashout. Get 6x £5 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. 7 day bonus expiry. Click for T&Cs. Please Gamble Responsibly. |
